WEATHER DISCUSSION, Tuesday Nov 19, 2024

WEATHER DISCUSSION – Monday November 18, 2024 – STILL, A GREAT START to the season! From the last forecast discussion (Tue the 12th); “Sunday/ Monday we get dumped on by more moderate+ snowfall, powder day criteria.” <- And there it is, going on 7 inches of new snow since yesterday, as of 1230L. Tuesday is looking COLD, with the area between storms, then Tuesday night we see steady snow start up as a big storm moves in delivering heavy snow at times and slowly warming temperatures as this “Atmospheric River” sets up. Expect possibly over a foot of new snow between Tuesday night and Wednesday. Snow levels start to rise in this moisture which is being pulled from the subtropics. So late Wednesday and Thursday I expect some rain and snow levels above 7,000 feet to 8,000+ feet, as a ridge builds up from the south and diverts the storm track further north, along with the cold air needed for base to top snow. On Friday the river of moisture is shrinking and colder air will be moving in late Friday, for base to top snowfall into Saturday. Opening day is still shaping up to be incredible and one to remember. Check the long range discussion from October 1 (almost 1 and 1/2 months ago), where we predicted this early and good snowfall, plus colder air, to open the season.LONGER RANGE. Next Sunday and Monday another big storm rolls through, more snow, some heavy. It looks busy with storms and short 1 day or so breaks in-between, for the last days of Nov and first few of December. After about Dec 3, expect 10-ish days of more dominant high pressure and less potential “storminess”. Meteorologist/ Chris Manly